Is Turkey the New Iran? | With Dan Schueftan, Michael Doran, and Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak

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Since October 7, the relationship between Turkey and Israel has reached a new low. Ankara has suspended trade with Jerusalem, sought the arrest of senior Israeli officials, and built a ring of military partnerships stretching from Syria to the Red Sea.

The Turkish-Israeli analyst Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak tells the story of why this happened in the September Mosaic essay, and explores a variety of unsettling questions: Is Turkey—as a growing number of Israeli officials now argue—becoming the next Iran? What does Erdoğan’s fervent embrace of Hamas and escalating anti-Zionist rhetoric mean for Israel’s security? Can Washington, which has remained largely silent as the relationship deteriorates, keep the two from coming to blows?

To take up these questions in more depth, we brought Yanarocak together with Dan Schueftan and Michael Doran. Schueftan believes Turkey is a major threat to Israel’s security, while Doran maintains that Turkey remains an important part of the American alliance system in the Middle East. Together with Jonathan Silver, they weighed the scale of the threat against the backdrop of Israel’s broader security doctrine and America’s role in the region.

The conversation took place on Wednesday, September 16.

Read Hay's essay on Turkey: https://tinyurl.com/5snww5zc

00:00—A Drone Aimed at Mecca: The New Pact's First Test
03:52—Bernard Lewis's Warning: Could Turkey Become the New Iran?
07:19—After October 7th: How Turkey Turned Pro-Hamas
20:05—Is Turkey Building a Ring Around Israel?
29:43—Doran Pushes Back: What the Case Against Turkey Leaves Out
41:20—Schueftan: Why Turkey and Israel Are in a Zero-Sum Fight
51:11—Not Everything Is About Israel: Doran on al-Sharaa and the Mecca Pact
55:11—Turkey as the Palestinians' "Guarantor"
1:04:16—Don't Be More Greek Than the Greeks
1:11:26—Closing Arguments: When Ideology Overrides Interest

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