Neil Howe: What Investors Are Missing About AI and Oil | Protect the Pile Episode 25

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00:00 – Markets Return With Oil, Rates & Quad 2 in Focus
06:00 – The Weak Dollar Tug-of-War
12:30 – Midterms, Politics & the Coming Defense Spending Boom
15:00 – Iran, the Red Sea & the Growing Oil Supply Risk
23:00 – Why Modern Warfare Is Becoming More Expensive
28:30 – Can Policymakers Keep Markets Going Through the Midterms?
33:20 – Russia, Ukraine & a New Threat to Global Energy
38:00 – Could Higher Rates Break the AI Boom?
45:45 – The AI Price War: Who Actually Makes Money?
53:15 – AI Bubble or Next Internet? Finding the Real Winners

What happens when rising oil prices, a weakening dollar, geopolitical escalation and an increasingly crowded AI boom all collide at once?

In the latest Protect the Pile, R. Patrick Kent, Sam Rahman, Brooks Cutright and Neil Howe unpack a market being pulled in several directions at the same time. The panel debates whether tightening energy supplies and expanding global conflicts could reignite inflation and reshape the economic regime heading into the midterms.

Then they turn to AI, where massive infrastructure spending, aggressive price competition and sky-high expectations are raising a harder question: even if AI changes everything, who actually makes the money? From OpenAI and Anthropic to Apple, Snowflake and Databricks, the group digs into where the real winners - and risks - may be hiding.