Dr Pali Lehohla: The Numbers Show South Africa Is in Trouble

State of the Nation

State of the Nation

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Former Statistician-General Dr Pali Lehohla joins Mike Sham to reveal what decades of South African data tell us about the country’s political and economic direction. He examines democratic disengagement, education, unemployment, service delivery, the ANC, MK, coalition politics and what his modelling suggests could happen at the next election.

But his biggest warning goes beyond politics: what kind of country is this generation leaving behind?

SONA Breakfast 8 October at https://www.sona.co.za

Chapters

00:00 The Numbers Don’t Lie
01:00 Dr Pali Lehohla
02:34 30 Years of Data
06:53 Predicting Voting Patterns
08:32 SA’s Education Divide
11:14 What Is Going Wrong?
13:35 What Influences Your Vote?
14:33 Is Democracy Collapsing?
17:38 Predicting the Next Election
19:04 ANC Support & MK
22:14 Johannesburg Prediction
23:39 Are Voters Checking Out?
24:40 “Competition of the Ugliest”
27:00 SA’s Lost 15 Years
29:11 Building for the Next Generation
30:27 Why SA Is Losing Value
33:26 How SA Used to Build Industry
35:46 Did SA Sell the Family Jewels?
37:30 How Do We Fix the Economy?
39:20 Did Transformation Go Wrong?
40:30 Lehohla on BEE
43:38 Which Political Policies Work?
46:33 Political Economy of Inefficiency
47:42 A New Generation for SA
48:29 Final Thoughts


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