Did Israel starve Gaza, and why don't many Israelis believe the experts who say it did? Noam sits down with Alex de Waal, the world's leading famine scholar (World Peace Foundation, Tufts), for a tough but good-faith debate. De Waal's case: "If Benjamin Netanyahu wanted every child in Gaza to have breakfast tomorrow, he could do it." Noam's case is about why skeptics stopped taking the experts at their word. De Waal himself once described pre-war Gaza as "very well nourished," after years of open-air prison headlines. He wrote an essay on how human rights advocates, himself included, have run ahead of the evidence. He warned in March 2024 of "thousands, if not tens of thousands" of deaths. Then there's the doctors' letter claiming 62,413 starvation deaths, and whether the experts pushed back hard enough. De Waal answers all of it. They get into Mike Spagat's mortality survey and the age pattern that didn't look like famine, the 2025 blockade and the IPC famine declaration, flour prices, Hamas and aid, and whether it's still famine if people aren't dying. Both of them give ground. Periel closes on the hostages, and de Waal ends with a plea about Sudan.
0:00 "Very well nourished": why Israelis doubt the famine experts
11:48 "The mud sticks": de Waal's own confession
25:03 "Thousands, if not tens of thousands" vs. Spagat's death count
40:11 Feroze Sidhwa's 62,413 and "all errors are equal"
47:34 The 2025 blockade and the famine declaration
59:27 Flour prices, Hamas hoarding and Israel's "calibration"
1:06:50 Counting the dead: is it famine if people aren't dying?
1:18:31 The hostages, and Sudan
Did Israel starve Gaza, and why don't many Israelis believe the experts who say it did? Noam sits down with Alex de Waal, the world's leading famine scholar (World Peace Foundation, Tufts), for a tough but good-faith debate. De Waal's case: "If Benjamin Netanyahu wanted every child in Gaza to have breakfast tomorrow, he could do it." Noam's case is about why skeptics stopped taking the experts at their word. De Waal himself once described pre-war Gaza as "very well nourished," after years of open-air prison headlines. He wrote an essay on how human rights advocates, himself included, have run ahead of the evidence. He warned in March 2024 of "thousands, if not tens of thousands" of deaths. Then there's the doctors' letter claiming 62,413 starvation deaths, and whether the experts pushed back hard enough. De Waal answers all of it. They get into Mike Spagat's mortality survey and the age pattern that didn't look like famine, the 2025 blockade and the IPC famine declaration, flour prices, Hamas and aid, and whether it's still famine if people aren't dying. Both of them give ground. Periel closes on the hostages, and de Waal ends with a plea about Sudan.
0:00 "Very well nourished": why Israelis doubt the famine experts
11:48 "The mud sticks": de Waal's own confession
25:03 "Thousands, if not tens of thousands" vs. Spagat's death count
40:11 Feroze Sidhwa's 62,413 and "all errors are equal"
47:34 The 2025 blockade and the famine declaration
59:27 Flour prices, Hamas hoarding and Israel's "calibration"
1:06:50 Counting the dead: is it famine if people aren't dying?
1:18:31 The hostages, and Sudan