Everything Tom Sosnoff has said on One Lucky Dog about how traders should think: probabilities over predictions, why a high win rate wins, trading mechanically instead of off charts, finding an edge, and judging yourself fairly.

00:00 Stop Using Charts. Trade Mechanically Instead.
05:29 Stop Benchmarking Yourself Against Outlier Traders
11:27 Stop Waiting for Confirmation Before You Trade
16:59 How to Tell If You're Getting Better or Just Lucky
22:07 The Only Trading Signals You Need to Watch
27:05 The Difference Between Probability of Touch and ITM
32:58 The Only Benchmark an Active Trader Needs
36:14 The Truth About Buying at All-Time Highs
39:54 The Truth About Edge for Retail Traders
43:01 What Everyone Gets Wrong About Trading
46:29 If You Don't Think in Probabilities, You'll Never Win
49:43 Options vs Sports Betting Isn't Close
54:43 Stop Following Analysts. Do This Instead.
58:04 Why a High Win Rate Beats a Big Payoff
60:16 Stop Trading Off Charts. Watch Implied Vol Instead.

Join the Lossdog Here: https://tinyurl.com/2bhryjxz

How I got here:

24 yrs old: Started at Drexel, then took the CBOE floor in 1981.

24–42: Two decades in the pits as a market maker, money manager, and owner of a prop trading firm.

42 yrs old: Co-founded thinkorswim with Scott Sheridan — the first platform to hand retail traders professional options tools.

50 yrs old: Took it public under the ticker SWIM.

52 yrs old: Sold thinkorswim to TD Ameritrade for $750M.

53 yrs old: Started tastytrade. Turned financial education into a live daily network.

60 yrs old: Launched the brokerage arm.

64 yrs old: Sold tastytrade to IG Group for $1.1B.

68 yrs old: Left tastylive and started building again.

He's been on camera nearly every trading day for 15 years. Thousands of hours of it, almost none of it searchable.

That's what this channel is for. 3 clips a day, each one answering a single question.

Trade small. Trade often. And never listen to anyone, including me.

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