Prof Robert Pape: HORMUZ--THE COMING DISASTER

Prof Robert Pape

Prof Robert Pape

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➡️ https://EscalationTrap.substack.com

FULL ANALYSIS LIVE BRIEFING ON THIS TOPIC:
Wednesday October 7 - 7pm EST
https://open.substack.com/live-stream...


➡️ https://ProfessorRobertPape.substack.com

Professor Pape's New Book - "Our Own Worst Enemies"
https://www.amazon.com/Our-Own-Worst-...

There are big changes occurring related to Hormuz, and I want to talk to you about that today.

And if you remember nothing else from today, remember that the movement of forces is often the most important signal about what comes in war.

And when the force movement is large, that's important.

Doesn't mean the president or the leader has certainly given a go order.

However, it starts momentum.

And not just for the side moving the forces, but also for the side that could be the target as well.

I call today's talk "One Vulnerability is Not Enough".

And let me explain why.

00:00:00 Start
00:00:10 Intro
00:01:10 The Signal
00:02:35 Strategy Is Clear
00:04:52 The Target Gets Prepared
00:06:08 Models To Learn From
00:08:10 What Can Go Wrong
00:08:47 Applying The Models To Hormuz
00:09:28 But There's Another Lesson
00:11:02 Assess Before The Order
00:11:29 Watch The Full Analysis Live