Sergey Auslender @sergey_auslender recalls the morning of October 7, 2023, and examines the military causes and consequences of the failure on the Gaza border. Why did the IDF lose control of its forces in the first hours of the Hamas attack? Why didn't Hezbollah open a second front simultaneously with the invasion from Gaza? Why didn't the ground operation begin immediately, and what role did the Gaza border with Egypt play?

In the second part of the conversation, we discuss the results of three years of war: has Israel achieved its goals, have Hamas and Hezbollah been destroyed, what lessons has the IDF learned from October 7, and how to prevent a similar attack on other borders from happening again. We also discuss Israel's dependence on US military aid, the Palestinian issue, Iran, and possible scenarios for the future of the war in the Middle East.

Hosts: Vitaly Novoselov, Roman Indyk.

00:00:00 — The Failure of October 7th and the War in Gaza.
00:00:25 — How Did October 7th Catch Auslander on the Island of Kos?
00:03:41 — Could Anyone Imagine the War Would Last Three Years?
00:04:25 — Why Didn't Hezbollah Launch an Invasion at the Same Time as Hamas?
00:10:44 — Who Is Responsible for the Transfer of Troops from the Gaza Border to Judea and Samaria?
00:12:24 — Why Did Command and Control Collapse and the Air Force Fail to Help?
00:15:28 — Why Didn't the Ground Operation in Gaza Begin Immediately?
00:17:15 — Why Didn't the IDF Close the Gaza-Egypt Border at the Start of the War?
00:19:01 — What do the casualty figures in Gaza say about the ratio of militants to civilians?
00:20:32 — Why is there no exact death toll on October 7th?
00:22:07 — How does belief in the IDF's invincibility lead to new disasters?
00:25:32 — What constitutes a victory if Hamas and Hezbollah are not destroyed?
00:28:39 — Could the US limit arms supplies to Israel after Trump?
00:29:35 — Can Israel defend itself without US help?
00:30:20 — Why will the war continue without a solution to the Palestinian issue?
00:31:55 — How can we prevent another October 7th in Judea and Samaria and the north?
00:33:10 — Will regime change in Iran solve all of Israel's security problems?
00:34:14 — Why is the US sending ships with marines to Iran?
00:36:41 — Will Iranians protest again after broken promises of US aid?

Watch "Nepechatnoe. Live" broadcasts every day from Sunday to Thursday at 6:00 PM Jerusalem time.

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