Asdrúbal Oliveros: Venezuela crecerá pero no la calidad de vida

TalCual

TalCual

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Venezuela is once again trying to solve its economic problems "by the skin of its teeth." Economist Asdrúbal Oliveros warns that higher oil revenues and the influx of more dollars may alleviate inflation, the exchange rate gap, and economic activity, but they do not replace the structural reforms the country needs.

In an interview with Víctor Amaya on *Noche D*, on *TalCual*, the director of Suma Consultores explains why he expects the Venezuelan economy to improve and grow, although without this implying a substantial leap in the population's quality of life.

Oliveros analyzes inflation in Venezuela, the gap between the official dollar and other rates, the effect of oil revenues, wages, and public services. He also warns about the risk of increased social conflict if economic and political solutions continue to progress slowly.

CHAPTERS

00:00 Introduction by Asdrúbal Oliveros
00:32 Why is the economic recovery taking so long to reach people's wallets? 01:39 Oliveros: The Venezuelan crisis is deep and complex
02:48 Oil begins to boost the economy
03:09 Economic reforms that are still pending
04:36 Protests, public services, and social unrest
05:38 Oliveros warns of increased social conflict
07:27 Economy, politics, and street pressure
09:15 Inflation and the exchange rate gap: Is the situation improving?

10:30 Why don't people feel the recovery yet?

11:07 Venezuela is once again solving its problems "with a lot of money"
12:59 Oliveros: The economy will grow, but with "band-aid solutions"
13:19 Will there be a substantial improvement in the quality of life?

14:21 Can more dollars reduce the exchange rate gap?

15:48 Should Venezuela fully dollarize its economy? 18:06 Oliveros anticipates a strong economic finish to 2026

19:30 Growth projected to exceed 9%

19:42 How to protect bolivars against inflation

21:35 Can political tension affect the economy?

22:04 María Corina Machado, protests, and social tension

23:40 How much does Venezuela really owe?

24:28 Oliveros estimates the debt at around $170 billion

25:00 Why Venezuela needs an audit of its debt

26:01 What are businesspeople seeing inside and outside Venezuela?

28:07 The fastest-growing economic sectors

28:20 Oil leads business interest
28:29 Mining, construction, transportation, banking, and fintech

29:55 How is the Venezuelan consumer changing? 30:29 The Rise of "Buy Now, Pay Later"
30:40 Oliveros: This Type of Credit Can Increase Consumption by Up to 30%
31:35 A More Home-Oriented Consumer, Mindful of Prices
33:32 Cachea's View on Bank Credit
34:42 Oliveros: The "Buy Now, Pay Later" Model Is Here to Stay
35:20 Closing Remarks

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