ALERTA MÁXIMA EN MÉXICO: Un Huracán Podría Tocar Tierra este Fin de Semana | Futuro Simon
Clima y Tiempo MX
89,110 views
MAXIMUM ALERT FOR THE COASTS OF MEXICO! The National Hurricane Center (NHC) maintains a 90% (extreme probability) of the formation of the next tropical cyclone in the Pacific Ocean, and the most recent runs of the main global weather models have sounded the alarm: they project a direct hit by a HURRICANE on Mexican territory this weekend (Saturday, October 10, and Sunday, October 11).
If it reaches tropical storm and hurricane strength, the system will be officially named SIMON.
CONSENSUS OF NUMERICAL MODELS:
🌀 CANADIAN MODEL (GEM): Projects a 987 hPa hurricane brushing or directly impacting the coast of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco on Saturday.
🌀 GERMAN MODEL (ICON): Projects a 984 hPa hurricane making landfall in Jalisco and Colima in the early hours of Sunday.
🌀 AMERICAN MODEL (GFS): Shows a 990 hPa hurricane making direct landfall on the coast of Jalisco and Nayarit by Sunday.
🌀 EUROPEAN MODEL (ECMWF): Consistent with a dangerous approach to within a few kilometers of the western Mexican coastline.
📈 FNV3 ASSEMBLY: Show a dense concentration of recurving tracks with sustained hurricane-force winds toward the Mexican coast.
AREAS UNDER MAXIMUM MONITORING:
🚨 States at priority risk: Michoacán, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, southern Sinaloa, and Guerrero.
🌧️ Associated hazards: continuous torrential rains with a high risk of flash floods and landslides in mountainous areas, dangerous storm surge, and destructive winds.
Timestamps:
0:00 High alert: Possible hurricane making landfall this weekend
1:15 The official bulletin from the National Hurricane Center (90% chance in 7 days)
2:40 Model comparison: GEM (987 hPa) and ICON (984 hPa)
4:20 GFS and European Model: The exact point of approach to landfall
6:05 Why does October push storms toward the Mexican coast?
7:50 States at risk of impact: Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, and Nayarit
9:30 Early prevention measures and Civil Protection alerts
SAFETY NOTICE: This report is a technical and informational analysis for preventative purposes. The event is still several days away, and the exact trajectory may change. We urge all residents in coastal areas and maritime navigation to remain attentive to advisories from Civil Protection, Port Captaincies, and the National Meteorological Service (Conagua).
Subscribe to the channel and turn on notifications to follow every model run and real-time update!
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ALERTA MÁXIMA EN MÉXICO: Un Huracán Podría Tocar Tierra este Fin de Semana | Futuro Simon
Clima y Tiempo MX
89,110 views
MAXIMUM ALERT FOR THE COASTS OF MEXICO! The National Hurricane Center (NHC) maintains a 90% (extreme probability) of the formation of the next tropical cyclone in the Pacific Ocean, and the most recent runs of the main global weather models have sounded the alarm: they project a direct hit by a HURRICANE on Mexican territory this weekend (Saturday, October 10, and Sunday, October 11).
If it reaches tropical storm and hurricane strength, the system will be officially named SIMON.
CONSENSUS OF NUMERICAL MODELS:
🌀 CANADIAN MODEL (GEM): Projects a 987 hPa hurricane brushing or directly impacting the coast of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco on Saturday.
🌀 GERMAN MODEL (ICON): Projects a 984 hPa hurricane making landfall in Jalisco and Colima in the early hours of Sunday.
🌀 AMERICAN MODEL (GFS): Shows a 990 hPa hurricane making direct landfall on the coast of Jalisco and Nayarit by Sunday.
🌀 EUROPEAN MODEL (ECMWF): Consistent with a dangerous approach to within a few kilometers of the western Mexican coastline.
📈 FNV3 ASSEMBLY: Show a dense concentration of recurving tracks with sustained hurricane-force winds toward the Mexican coast.
AREAS UNDER MAXIMUM MONITORING:
🚨 States at priority risk: Michoacán, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, southern Sinaloa, and Guerrero.
🌧️ Associated hazards: continuous torrential rains with a high risk of flash floods and landslides in mountainous areas, dangerous storm surge, and destructive winds.
Timestamps:
0:00 High alert: Possible hurricane making landfall this weekend
1:15 The official bulletin from the National Hurricane Center (90% chance in 7 days)
2:40 Model comparison: GEM (987 hPa) and ICON (984 hPa)
4:20 GFS and European Model: The exact point of approach to landfall
6:05 Why does October push storms toward the Mexican coast?
7:50 States at risk of impact: Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, and Nayarit
9:30 Early prevention measures and Civil Protection alerts
SAFETY NOTICE: This report is a technical and informational analysis for preventative purposes. The event is still several days away, and the exact trajectory may change. We urge all residents in coastal areas and maritime navigation to remain attentive to advisories from Civil Protection, Port Captaincies, and the National Meteorological Service (Conagua).
Subscribe to the channel and turn on notifications to follow every model run and real-time update!