Understanding the War in Ukraine (1) - General
STG Series
212,804 views
STG Director Prof Alexander Stubb sheds light on the war in Ukraine in a series of four video lectures.
Each lecture focuses on a different angle regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The first video provides a general overview. The following episodes will focus on Finland, Europe, and the world.
More on eui.eu/stg
This episode was recorded on 24 March 2022.
#Ukraine #Russia #Ukrainewar
20 Comments
@alexanderstubb1001 4 years ago Pinned
Thanks for all the comments on the this and all the other episodes. Was able to read through over the weekend. Will try to continue to approve the series. Sorry for all the mistakes. I do not have a transcript, just a structure for the talk in my notebook. We do the lecture in one take, no revision or major editing…well, except for the first take in the first episode, which my team thought was funny and necessary to rub in =). Big thanks to Roeland, Andrei and Gulia for the production. Helps to have the most talented film maker in town. Next too episodes on Instruments of Power and a New World Order…or disorder as the case might be.
@liberty-matrix 4 years ago
"When we over rationalize the past, over dramatize the present, we end up underestimating the future." ~ Prof Alexander Stubb
@oyebiyitope46 4 years ago
When you mentioned Finland I just know that you are making sense, even though this video is two months old, with what's going on between Russia and Finland, man you are on point
@echoblash 4 years ago
Thank you sir ( your the best ! I enjoy lessening your lecture )
This educational and can change the world !
This educational and can change the world !
@gooner72 3 years ago
Aha!!! You have your own channel, that is fantastic news!!! I've always enjoyed listening to you when you've been on other channels, being interviewed, so when I saw this...... it was like "Happy Days!!!!" Keep up the fantastic work Alex, top job mate,!!
@axlslak 4 years ago
OMG thank you. As a Romanian citizen, I know our politicians are not yet as mature and ready for the new world as this gentleman.
I wish we had different politicians here in Romania. :(
we're kinda spoiled now. We seen other models. damn. :(
I wish we had different politicians here in Romania. :(
we're kinda spoiled now. We seen other models. damn. :(
@beamsleybrightlight 4 years ago
Thank you for your giving your insights into Russia. I really enjoyed listening.
@hasanchoudhurymd 4 years ago (edited)
All defenders need to have extreme preparedness.
Security and self defense are serious matters.
Thanks for your provocative thoughts.
Urgency.
Promptly connecting all defenders.
No one needs to point fingers but don’t waste time going forward now.
Security and self defense are serious matters.
Thanks for your provocative thoughts.
Urgency.
Promptly connecting all defenders.
No one needs to point fingers but don’t waste time going forward now.
@nataliapiets2171 1 year ago
Thank you for the support of Ukraine. Your lecture provided people with a clear understanding of the war in Ukraine💙💛
@peterkratoska4524 4 years ago
A good analysis.
I would also add that the Chechen wars belong in this analysis. Although Russia fell apart in 91 they were not willing to let Chechnya go because of its oil resources. The 1st Chechen war is surprisingly similar. The Russians just went into Grozny in straight armored columns (with no infantry support)
intending to take the presidential palace. They never made it. The Chechens organized in small groups of 50 attacked the lead and tail vehicles with antitank weapons and then proceeded to methodically destroy the rest. Out of 26 tanks only 6 made it and out of 120 MBPs only 20 survived. The Russians were completely wiped out. It was a total shock.
The Russians then reacted by slowly surrounding Grozny and pounded it with artillery into rubble. The Chechens pulled back into the hills.
Then the Russians had a city of rubble to occupy and slowly started going after other towns and the Chechen rebels. But this was a very slow slog.
18 months later the Chechens came down from the hills and surrounded the Russians and basically destroyed them, they had to sue for peace and get out of there.
It was obviously more than that, Dudayev organized a terror occupation of a hospital to get a ceasefire and there was also internal fighting among the Chechens.
Then there was the rise of Putin in 99 and a series of Moscow apt bombings. A third building the police came in and found an unexploded hexogen bomb and caught 3 men who turned out to be FSB agents. The official explanation was that it was a "training exercise" . But it really looks like it was a false flag to blame the Chechens and start another war. (The Chechens never admitted responsibility for the apt bombings). They did some really nasty stuff though like the Moscow Theatre terror attack, the 3 planes with suicide bombers that came down, and the Beslan school attack. This and the fact that they considered it a muslim jihad did not get them much sympathy in the west.
But also Chechnya was a small country of a million or so and no international borders with friendly states. They had no airforce either.
The 2nd war lasted another 9 years and ended with the Kadyrov puppet regime passed on to son Kadyrov. There is opposition now but they are not large enough to
do anything.
A second point. Democratic contagion.
As Anne Applebaum (and Fiona Hill) both state. Putin is really threatened with the colour revolutions and the Maidan 2014 revolution. He was in Berlin in the KGB buidling burning documents while crowds were demonstrating in 89. Those former communist countries in the bloc fell in reverse domino theory and mostly non-violent revolutions except Romania and then Yugoslavia.
There were some demonstrations even in Russia after the 2012 elections, which Putin blamed on the US (as if they actually had that ability) and of course the recent Belorussian and Kazakhstan demonstrations, which were more or less put down with Russian troops coming in to prop them up.
These are perceived as a real threat to Putin and why he has to try to stamp them out. But I agree it backfired spectacularly.
And Prof. Stub is absolutely right. This is a global conflict and will affect the world order. Even Fiona Hill states we are in kind of ww3 right now.
I would also add that the Chechen wars belong in this analysis. Although Russia fell apart in 91 they were not willing to let Chechnya go because of its oil resources. The 1st Chechen war is surprisingly similar. The Russians just went into Grozny in straight armored columns (with no infantry support)
intending to take the presidential palace. They never made it. The Chechens organized in small groups of 50 attacked the lead and tail vehicles with antitank weapons and then proceeded to methodically destroy the rest. Out of 26 tanks only 6 made it and out of 120 MBPs only 20 survived. The Russians were completely wiped out. It was a total shock.
The Russians then reacted by slowly surrounding Grozny and pounded it with artillery into rubble. The Chechens pulled back into the hills.
Then the Russians had a city of rubble to occupy and slowly started going after other towns and the Chechen rebels. But this was a very slow slog.
18 months later the Chechens came down from the hills and surrounded the Russians and basically destroyed them, they had to sue for peace and get out of there.
It was obviously more than that, Dudayev organized a terror occupation of a hospital to get a ceasefire and there was also internal fighting among the Chechens.
Then there was the rise of Putin in 99 and a series of Moscow apt bombings. A third building the police came in and found an unexploded hexogen bomb and caught 3 men who turned out to be FSB agents. The official explanation was that it was a "training exercise" . But it really looks like it was a false flag to blame the Chechens and start another war. (The Chechens never admitted responsibility for the apt bombings). They did some really nasty stuff though like the Moscow Theatre terror attack, the 3 planes with suicide bombers that came down, and the Beslan school attack. This and the fact that they considered it a muslim jihad did not get them much sympathy in the west.
But also Chechnya was a small country of a million or so and no international borders with friendly states. They had no airforce either.
The 2nd war lasted another 9 years and ended with the Kadyrov puppet regime passed on to son Kadyrov. There is opposition now but they are not large enough to
do anything.
A second point. Democratic contagion.
As Anne Applebaum (and Fiona Hill) both state. Putin is really threatened with the colour revolutions and the Maidan 2014 revolution. He was in Berlin in the KGB buidling burning documents while crowds were demonstrating in 89. Those former communist countries in the bloc fell in reverse domino theory and mostly non-violent revolutions except Romania and then Yugoslavia.
There were some demonstrations even in Russia after the 2012 elections, which Putin blamed on the US (as if they actually had that ability) and of course the recent Belorussian and Kazakhstan demonstrations, which were more or less put down with Russian troops coming in to prop them up.
These are perceived as a real threat to Putin and why he has to try to stamp them out. But I agree it backfired spectacularly.
And Prof. Stub is absolutely right. This is a global conflict and will affect the world order. Even Fiona Hill states we are in kind of ww3 right now.
Understanding the War in Ukraine (1) - General
STG Series
212,804 views
STG Director Prof Alexander Stubb sheds light on the war in Ukraine in a series of four video lectures.
Each lecture focuses on a different angle regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The first video provides a general overview. The following episodes will focus on Finland, Europe, and the world.
More on eui.eu/stg
This episode was recorded on 24 March 2022.
#Ukraine #Russia #Ukrainewar