Gold may face short-term challenges but still make sense in a long-term portfolio. Today, I explain my accumulation plan: what factors are putting pressure on the metal, what scenarios I'm monitoring, and how I use the weekly Parabolic SAR to organize purchases without trying to predict the bottom.

Real interest rates are a fundamental part of the analysis. In the face of this pressure, we examine the factors that could support gold in the long term: fiscal deficits, the erosion of currency purchasing power, and geopolitical uncertainty. We also compare the situations in the United States and the Eurozone, distinguishing between available data and hypothetical scenarios.

We review the $4,000 level and what a recovery or a deterioration in the price structure would entail. Then, we analyze the reaction to US employment figures, the strength of the dollar, Nvidia's new highs, and the levels of gold, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.

⚠️ Educational Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Do your own research and consult a professional. Investing involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

⚠️ Impersonation alert: I will never ask you for money or offer to manage your portfolio. My content on YouTube and Substack is free. Be wary of anyone contacting you pretending to be me and asking for money.

🎯 What will you see in this video?

✅ My long-term gold accumulation plan using the weekly Parabolic SAR.

✅ Why real interest rates can hold gold back.

✅ The role of debt, deficits, and currency depreciation.

✅ How I interpret growth and recession scenarios in the United States and Europe.

✅ Current status and key levels for gold, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.

Chapters:
00:00 Long-term gold and a warning about fraud
02:00 Gold scenarios and accumulation systems
05:02 Real interest rates: the competition from bonds
07:17 Recession, deficits, and gold fundamentals
09:57 Eurozone: inflation, growth, and risk to the euro
11:58 The purchase plan with the Parabolic SAR
14:01 Gold and the dollar after the jobs report
16:15 Nvidia, corporate profits, and the bond market
19:10 Hedging, volatility, and the market indicator
21:15 Key levels for gold, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin

💬 I'm reading your comments:
How do you organize your gold purchases: regular contributions or an accumulation system? Would you be interested in a practical lesson on bonds for those of us who invest in euros and another on portfolio hedging?

👍 If you found this valuable, like, subscribe, and leave your thoughts in the comments. We continue working with data, scenarios, and a long-term plan: data trumps narrative.

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