Peter Hänseler: Warum der Ukrainekrieg nur der Anfang eines globalen Machtkampfs ist

Patrik Baab

Patrik Baab

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Peter Hänseler says: World War III has already begun. Not as a direct military confrontation between Russia and the US or between China and the US – but as a global power struggle manifesting itself in regional wars, economic conflicts, and geopolitical shifts.

In conversation with Patrik Baab, the editor of "Forum Geopolitica" explains why he is convinced that Russia will win the war in Ukraine. Hänseler points to Russia's military adaptability, arms production, energy and raw materials, public finances, and societal resilience. At the same time, he acknowledges that war and sanctions also incur significant costs for Russia.



[The text abruptly ends here, so the translation stops as well.] The conversation covers:

– Why Peter Hänseler expects a Russian victory
– Drone warfare and the changing nature of warfare
– Russia's arms production and economic resilience
– National debt and the West's economic problems
– The consequences of sanctions for Russia
– Energy prices and Germany's industrial future
– The relationship between Germany and the USA
– Iran, China, and the Global South
– BRICS and the changing world order
– Hänseler's thesis on the decline of Western hegemony
– The question of whether this transfer of power can be peaceful
– The risk of nuclear escalation

Particularly interesting is the contradiction that Patrik Baab addresses in the conversation: If Russia wins the war, as Hänseler predicts, will the war nevertheless weaken Russia? Hänseler acknowledges that resources are lacking, investments are being postponed, and sanctions are costly. At the same time, he argues that the sanctions themselves are forcing Russia to become more economically self-sufficient.

































– 'Why Peter Hänseler expects Russia to win the war, will the war weaken Russia?








– ... In the end, the conversation expands to a fundamental question: Are we witnessing a historic shift in power from the West to the Global South? Hänseler anticipates that this process could be accompanied by decades of regional conflict. For him, the most dangerous question is what will happen if the nuclear threshold is lowered in the process.

"The first person to use such a weapon removes a barrier that we have had since August 1945." – Peter Hänseler

🌐 More about Forum Geopolitica and Peter Hänseler:

https://forumgeopolitica.com/de/

https://forumgeopolitica.com/de/ueber...

Chapters:

00:00 - Intro
01:20 - Welcome: Has World War III already begun?

03:00 - Frontline Situation & Modern Warfare in Ukraine
06:20 - Russia's Arms Production & Military Capabilities
08:35 - Economic Autarky & Raw Materials in Russia
11:00 - Debt Crisis & Economic Problems in the West
15:30 - Inflation & Interest Rate Policy in Comparison
18:25 - Defense Readiness & Motivation: Russia vs. the West
22:23 - Stress Test: Sanctions, Investment Backlog & Labor Market
31:47 - Reconstruction of Mariupol & Territorial Goals
36:38 - Struggle for Raw Materials & Investments in the Donbass
40:12 - Frozen Assets & Consequences of Western Sanctions
43:48 - Deindustrialization & Energy Crisis in Germany
47:17 - US Strategy, Rand Corporation & the Role of Europe
52:33 - US Geopolitical Interests in the Middle East
57:58 - The Moscow, Beijing & Tehran Axis
01:02:45 - Global South vs. Collective West (BRICS)
01:05:36 - Shift in Hegemony & the Danger of Nuclear Escalation

Note:

This interview serves the purpose of political opinion-forming and freedom of expression in accordance with Article 5 of the German Basic Law.

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